Tanya Stevenson
Tanya’s Blog, March 27
DONCASTER HAS NOT WATERED!!!!!! Contrary to reports in the paper’s or in the media Doncaster racecourse has not watered. Clerk of the course noted the rain forecast at the start of the week and kept the taps switched off.
Even so the going is soft but it has been a dry night and bright start to Saturday. Low numbers with me will be favoured in both the straight mile races as there is virginal ground which hasn’t been used from a mile out to the opening of the bend whereas on the stand side that equivalent strip of ground has been pounded on since Portland then Racing Post Trophy meeting and finally November handicap meeting and with our winter hasn’t been given a chance to recover.
If the Spring Mile is won by horses running from a low numbered stall then I think we will see the shortest priced favourite of the William Hill Lincoln. I have two selections in the Spring Mile in Moynahan and Conry, with the latter being my charity bet. Moynahan ran in the 2008 2000 Guineas and is finally now being given a chance by the handicapper while Conry loves soft ground and I think at 20-1 his price is too big.
In the Lincoln I pick Tiger Reigns as Michael Dods runner has the right make-up for this race. Worth a saver on the favourite Penitent as he could be poised to make a mockery of the handicapper.
I’ll be in the car when the Dubai World Cup is run and shall watch a recording later.
TANYA’S POINTERS
FAVOURITES RECORD IN THE WILLIAM HILL LINCOLN
2009 EXPRESSO STAR 9 10-3 WON
2008 YEAMAN’S HALL 21 6-1 7TH
2007 GENTLEMAN’S DEAL 15 7-2 15TH ** Newcastle
2006 CESARE 6 7-2 12TH ** Redcar
2005 STREAM OF GOLD 13 5-1 WON
2004 PABLO 21 7-1 19TH
2003 ADIEMUS 10 7-2 7TH
2002 ADIEMUS 6 5-2 2ND
2001 NIMELLO 1 9-2 WON
2000 JOHN FERNELEY 1 7-1J WON
THE WHISTLING TEAL 18 7-1J 11TH
1999 RIGHT WING 8 9-2 WON
1998 SOLAR STORM 14 6-1 22ND
1997 HAWKSLEY HILL 6 7-1J 2ND
TUMBLEWEED RIDGE 4 7-1J 3RD
1996 SHARP PROSPECT 14 7-1 24TH
1995 COUNTRY LOVER 19 15-2 18TH
1994 MAHOOL 2 7-1 9TH
1993 DASWAKI 20 7-1 20TH
1992 ROSEATE LODGE 9 6-1J 11TH
MONTPELIER BOY 20 6-1J 17TH
1991 SEELAH 4 5-1 20TH
1990 BECQUEREL 4 9-1 13TH
Out of the five favourites in Doncaster’s Lincoln over the last ten years that have been drawn low four have won and Adimeus has finished second
Nine of the last ten Lincoln winners carried between 8-9 and 9stone
Seven of the last eleven Lincoln winners came from the first three in the betting
Eight of the last ten winners of the Lincoln were aged four or five
Four-year-olds have won ten of the last 15 Spring Miles
Fourteen of the last 15 winners of the Cammidge Trophy were having their first run of the season in Britain
